Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.001402 0.001566 0.001730 0.001907 0.002090 0.002275 0.002474
2025-09-14 0.001138 0.001376 0.001620 0.001889 0.002174 0.002467 0.002788
2025-09-21 0.000974 0.001270 0.001582 0.001932 0.002311 0.002705 0.003143
2025-09-28 0.000866 0.001211 0.001585 0.002012 0.002481 0.002973 0.003526
2025-10-05 0.000727 0.001106 0.001528 0.002019 0.002564 0.003144 0.003801
2025-10-12 0.000625 0.001032 0.001498 0.002049 0.002670 0.003335 0.004093
2025-10-19 0.000509 0.000931 0.001429 0.002030 0.002715 0.003456 0.004306
2025-10-26 0.000418 0.000853 0.001381 0.002029 0.002776 0.003591 0.004531
2025-11-02 0.000330 0.000767 0.001317 0.002005 0.002808 0.003690 0.004714
2025-11-09 0.000269 0.000711 0.001286 0.002016 0.002876 0.003828 0.004937
2025-11-16 0.000211 0.000652 0.001247 0.002015 0.002928 0.003944 0.005134
2025-11-23 0.000161 0.000597 0.001208 0.002012 0.002975 0.004054 0.005322
2025-11-30 0.000110 0.000542 0.001184 0.002045 0.003090 0.004267 0.005658
2025-12-07 0.000051 0.000453 0.001107 0.002011 0.003126 0.004393 0.005899
2025-12-14 0.000022 0.000406 0.001085 0.002046 0.003243 0.004613 0.006247
2025-12-21 0.000008 0.000383 0.001096 0.002121 0.003409 0.004888 0.006659
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000327 0.001052 0.002124 0.003484 0.005059 0.006950
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000289 0.001031 0.002153 0.003591 0.005264 0.007280
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000234 0.000974 0.002131 0.003633 0.005392 0.007521
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000192 0.000934 0.002129 0.003698 0.005545 0.007788
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000147 0.000880 0.002104 0.003731 0.005659 0.008009
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000119 0.000853 0.002115 0.003808 0.005823 0.008287
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000091 0.000819 0.002113 0.003868 0.005966 0.008538